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The Art Of Value Investing

Monday, April 2, 2007

My Dearest Moo Moo Cow,

Saw this article posted on BTimes written by Mr. Herman Phua.

(
http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/sub/campus/story/0,4574,229296,00.html? or you can read it here )

Here is some highlights...

  • Together with David Dodd in 1934, Mr Graham published Security Analysis, still in print and considered as the bible for serious investors. Drawing from his personal experience of the devastation caused by the Great Crash of 1929, Mr Graham developed quantitative techniques that expounded the importance of diligent number crunching in the investment decision process. Basically, he developed a rigorous screening methodology.

    In fact, it was Mr Graham who popularised the use of many of the financial tools we are familiar with today - price-earnings (PE) ratio, debt-to-equity ratio and book value. While Mr Graham may not be an immediately recognisable name, he is held in the highest esteem by someone who is.

    Warren Buffett, a student of Mr Graham and widely regarded as one of the world's greatest investors, attributes much of his success to his mentor. Besides sophisticated screening tools, Mr Graham developed an investment philosophy that has withstood the test of time.

    First and foremost, he believed investors have to approach stock investments as though they are seeking to buy or become a partner in the business. Mr Graham published his second book, The Intelligent Investor, in 1949.


    POWERFUL CONCEPT

    According to Mr Buffett, there are two other essential things all investors will gain from reading it - the concepts of 'Mr Market' and 'Margin of Safety'. The concept behind Mr Market is a simple but powerful idea. It is a story Mr Graham often related to describe how an investor should view market fluctuations.

    Think of Mr Market as one of your partners in a business. He is an eccentric person ruled by his emotions, which can swing from amazing optimism to overpowering depression. Each day, Mr Market will turn up and offer to buy your share or sell you his share in the business at a price that corresponds to his mood, even though there has not been any fundamental change in the business.

    On some days, Mr Market feels exhilarated over the prospects of the business and is willing to offer you a very high buy-sell price. On other days, he sees only doom ahead for the business and offers a sharply lower buy-sell price. But temperamental as he is, Mr Market does not seem to mind if you decide not to accept his offer and will be back again the next day with another buy-sell price for you.

    The point of Mr Graham's story is that the stock market is there for investors to take advantage of. As investing behaviour is heavily influenced by the emotions of greed and fear, there will be times when you will be presented with opportunities to buy or sell stocks at particularly attractive levels.

    Of course, the danger is that you unknowingly fall under the influence of Mr Market and find yourself swayed by the emotions of the herd. While there is the possibility that the herd may be right, Mr Graham's point is that to be successful, an investor has to remain rational and make independent decisions about the value of his investments.

    Herein lies the problem as most investors - even professionals - usually will have differing values that they place on the same stock. This largely depends on their methods for calculating intrinsic value.

    Acknowledging the possibility that his computations may be flawed, or that an external event could occur to affect the stock valuation, Mr Graham introduced the concept of Margin of Safety. This means making sure you have some room for error in your estimate of a stock's intrinsic value by buying at a sufficiently big discount.

    Mr Graham believed that a true margin of safety is one that can be demonstrated by figures, persuasive reasoning and reference to actual experience.

Hope you enjoyed it Moo!!

rgds

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