Rear View Mirror Time Again

Here's an interesting posting by Kathy again!

• After the horrid US data released this morning, there are plenty of reasons to believe that the equity markets including the Dow Jones Industrial Average are headed lower. We have argued that the next string of GDP reports will finally reflect the recessionary conditions that Americans are already feeling. However in every battle there are signs of hope. Here is a very interesting chart published by Barclays Capital this morning. They compare the current equity market movements to that of the “Panic of 1907.”
  
  The similarities are striking. In 1907, the last leg lower in the Dow was the 37% decline that lasted from the second quarter to the fourth quarter. So far this year we have only seen a 34% decline from the August high of 11867 to the October low of 7882. Another 3 percent decline would bring the Dow down to 7475.

Have a look at the charts posted by Kathy..

http://www.kathylien.com/site/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/dow1907.jpg

and

http://www.minyanville.com/assets/catalog/products/00KAT-Dow100YrsMV.jpg

Read the rest of her posting here: http://www.kathylien.com/site/uncategorized/djia-does-the-past-offer-hope