A Little Chat With Dali On Perisai
Thursday, March 31, 2011
Dali, I see that you had posted a piece on Perisai called Over Eager Reporting and Research
- My View: The asset is properly priced. Although it has the same name, there has been tons of monies poured into the asset to bring it to what it is, and it comes with a strong recurring contract as well. It comes with a substantiated contract which will propel Perisai's earnings visibility enormously. My advice to all analysts and reporters, when something is so blatantly wrong, usually its not. When something is so blatantly good, usually its not. No one here seems to even bother to pick up the phone to confirm some facts, no fact checking at all. A call to Perisai's office would have negated all that. There were some 100m shares transacted all the way down, that is a massive loss for some people. Who were buying then??? The people who knew better. Who should be responsible for the losses incurred ... hmmm ... Still, the shares should continue its upward ascendency following this quite unecessary debacle.
Firstly, Dali, I do apologise for posting here and not in your comment box ( I will try to post my comments or the link to this post in your posting later). This is because my reply is rather long winded (as usual! LOL! ps: how are you ar? ) and it contain a chart pix.
1. You said "There were some 100m shares transacted all the way down, that is a massive loss for some people." Well is RHB to be blame? Did RHB contributed to the fall?
Here's the one hour chart of Perisai I just took.
From my lousy interpretation of the chart, Perisai started declining yesterday morning, 31st March 2011.
Now the news flash that was posted on 30th March 2011 on the Edge can't be found.
LOL!
Serious.
For some strange reason, I can't find the url of the article but that article can be viewed here: http://my.news.yahoo.com/flash-rhb-research-raises-concerns-over-perisais-acquisition-20110329-181406-445.html
As can be seen, RHB's comments was posted on Wed, Mar 30, 2011 9:14 AM MYT
And Perisai shares did not drop on Wed morning despite those comments posted online on the Edge website. In fact Perisai soared above 90 sen on Wednesday itself.
So for me, I would not blame RHB to be the cause for Perisai's reversal. That's my flawed opinion!
Now yes, I would probably agree with you very much that RHB analyst could have done better had she called up Perisai. A phone call would not hurt yes?
However, what about Perisai themselves?
Firstly the issues that was raised, those were rather logical questions, an analyst would raise and ask, yes?
From my own flawed personal ways, I would indeed prefer very much that an analyst or an report covers BOTH the potential rewards/benefits a deal brings and also the possible negative implication(s) arising from a deal. Yes, I indeed would prefer to see both sides of views.
Yeah, but in a hot market, when one is speculating/trading on that stock itself, it's a no brainer that one does not want to hear any whisper of risks at all.
That's normal and seriously, as you had known me from the good old chat days, I accept such behavior. It's normal la. It's like that one. :=)
So where are we now? LOL!
Oh yeah, the initial issues raised by RHB.
Let me paste here again.
- RHB Research said on Wednesday, March 30 that this was an unusual transaction which brings the former CEO back into the company, and more so given Perisai had sold Garuda to him in mid-2010 for just US$5 million cash. In early-2010, Garuda had acquired a jack-up rig for US$5m cash, which Perisai now appears to be targeting in this acquisition. Other than a change in name (from Hercules 191 to Rubicone) the rig is currently being converted into a MOPU. The rig has also been chartered out to Gryphon on a 2+1 year bareboat charter basis for US$25 million per annum. “We are concerned about the transaction and the new issue of shares, which will give Nagendran a 13.5% stake at a 20% discount to the current share price of 81 sen. “This will dilute current major shareholder Ezra Holdings' 19% stake to 17%. Moreover, we believe there is a corporate governance issue relating to the effective purchase of the asset at 14x premium to the original disposal price of the same asset,” it said.
Perisai announcement to Bursa on its Garuda deal was on 31 Mar 2011. Perisai announcement to the local media of its Garuda deal was on 30 Mar 2011. Me? I would only ask Perisai why! Seriously, this is corporate governance and transparency. But again that's me. ps: sorry for that long winded post (this is why I cannot reply directly on your site!) and yeah, I do like things long. :=)
update: do see this posting also: Featured Post: Legg Mason Sold Every Single Share Of Perisai They Had Bought On 23 Mar 2011
0 comments:
Post a Comment